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Tuesday, February 23, 2010

The Other Dodger

When talking about the outfield for the L.A. Dodgers, two names come straight to mind, Manny Ramirez and Matt Kemp. Manny is an established super-star (although his star is fading), and Kemp has shown that he is an elite outfielder and will be for years to come. What about that other guy? Listen in on this brief conversation.
Me: I'm really looking forward to the another season of Dodger baseball! Their outfield is jammed with talent!
Friend: I know, with Manny in left center and Kemp in right center, they are loaded!
Me: Left center and right center?
Friend: Yea, how else would they play their two outfielders?
Me: What are you talking about? The Dodgers have three outfielders like everyone else.
Friend: I can only remember them playing two last year. Are you sure you are not thinking of a mascot or something?
Me: I'm quite sure. You seem to be forgetting about Andre Ethier. He plays right field.
Friend: Andre Ethier? That's a weird name for a mascot. Anyway, mascots aren't real players.
Me: You're killing me Smalls. Andre Ethier is the Dodger's everyday right fielder and was last year. I know Manny and Kemp get a lot of attention, and for good reason, but Ethier is fantastic. Lets do a little comparison.
Friend: Alright. Which do you like better, Jam or Jelly?
Me: Just stop talking. I want to compare Ethier with Kemp. Kemp had a .297 avg last year, Ethier had .272. Kemp - 26 HRs, Ethier - 31. Kemp - 101 RBIs, Ethier - 106. Kemp - 97 Runs, Ethier - 92. Kemp is much faster and had 34 SBs, while Ethier had more walks and less Ks. All in all, Ethier's fantasy value is very comparable to Kemp!
Friend: Color me impressed.
Me: Kemp is still the more valuable of the two, but Ethier is only just behind him. In fact, in my Yahoo H2H league, Kemp was the 8th best point getter (for outfielders) and Ethier was 12th. I think that he will be a steal in most leagues. Kemp will go in the top couple of rounds, while Ethier will go much later and yet perform like a high end pick.
Friend: This is good advice, and good news for the Dodgers!
Me: Glad you agree.
Friend: The Padres should pay attention, all they have is one infielder.
Me: Sigh.
-Scout Monkey

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Thursday, May 7, 2009

Manny Being A Cheater

Scout Hoffman profantasybaseball.com In some shocking news out of Los Angeles this morning, Manny Ramirez is being suspended 50 games for testing positive for a banned substance. Up until now Ramirez has not been linked in any way to performance-enhancing drugs. It has been reported that it was not a steroid, but a prescribed drug for a medical condition. Nonetheless, he is out of the lineup until July 3rd. This obviously puts a drastic downturn on Ramirez’s fantasy value, but who else does it hurt? Andre Either has benefited greatly from having Manny around him in the lineup. Since Manny joined the Dodgers last summer, Either has hit at a .320 clip with 15 HRs and 58 RBI in about 300 ABs. In the 350 ABs before Manny became a Dodger Either hit .274 with 11 HRs and 46 RBI. Some of the increase in numbers can surely be attributed to his growth as a hitter, but a large part has to do with pitchers giving him better pitchers to hit with Manny protecting him. I would expect Ethier’s average, runs and RBI to see a slight dip over the next two months. Orlando Hudson is another Dodger whose fantasy value could take a hit. Hitting ahead of Manny, the O-Dog was on pace for over 100 runs, nearly 100 RBI, and is hitting .342, nearly 60 points above his career average. You can expect those numbers to decrease while Manny is serving his suspension. The entire Dodger pitching staff will certainly miss Manny. The Dodgers are first in the NL in runs scored and that number will most likely drop without the slugger in the three spot in the order. Chavez Ravine has always been a pitchers park so I do not anticipate a drop in ratios for the pitchers, but they may miss out on a few wins. Not all fantasy hope is lost for the Dodgers for the next 50 games. Xavier Paul will be called up to take his roster spot, he is off to a solid start in AAA, but I do not think he will see everyday playing time. Juan Pierre may stand to see an increase in playing time, so those of you who need runs and SBs, he may be a good two month rental. Pierre could be pushed into the leadoff spot and bump Rafael Furcal and Orlando Hudson down a spot in the order. Matt Kemp who has been buried in the 7th hole will may be pushed up in the order and could see an increase in RBI chances. Everyone knows that Manny Ramirez can be a both a positive and negative force in the clubhouse for a team. It will be interesting to see how Manny and the Dodgers react not only during the 50 games suspension, but when he returns. Will he go back to being the force he has been for his three months in Dodger Blue, or will he revert to the guy who played his way out of Boston for personal gain. Only time will tell.

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