Why you shouldn't draft a catcher early
Here is a tale of two players, A and B
Player A's 08 stats:
AB R HR RBI BB KO SB BA
538 91 29 115 62 108 3 .312
Player B's 08 stats:
AB R HR RBI BB KO SB BA
509 68 23 87 57 64 5 .301
While both put up solid numbers last year, who would you draft first?
Obviously looking at the numbers you would say player A with his superior
numbers in every category (I know B had 2 more SB but that is negligible when
you look at their total lines). And you would be right because player A, Kevin Youkilis
is drafted first but player B, Brian McCann is being picked only 2 spots later on average.
I know you say but he's a catcher, position scarcity and such, but I say forget that.
If you draft Youkilis and Bengie Molina (157th overall) your roto stat line is:
AB R HR RBI SB BA
1068 137 45 210 3 .302
If you draft McCann and Pat Burrell (149th overall) your roto stat line is:
AB R HR RBI SB BA
1045 142 56 173 5 .275
The differences are not earth shattering but when you consider how close first and third can be in a roto category then the disparity is important. So yes, McCann and Burrell edge Molina and Youk in runs and kill them with nearly 25% more home runs, but the huge difference in BA and RBI more than make up for it. For those who say Bengie won't drive in 95 this year I say your probably right, but even if he finishes with 15 less ribbies his duo with Youk is more valuable.
Happy drafting Scout PDX
Labels: adp, catcher, position scarcity, Scout PDX, youk


